- ホーム
- > 洋書
- > 英文書
- > Politics / International Relations
Full Description
Think that Richard Nixon lost the 1960 presidential election because he sweated on TV? Or that John Kerry was "swiftboated" out of the presidency in 2004? Think again! In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2012.
Contents
Chapter 1Chapter 2: Turning the Keys to the Presidency Chapter 3: Civil War and Reconstruction Chapter 4: The Gilded Age Chapter 5: Rise and Fall of Progressivism Chapter 6: Depression, War, and Cold War Chapter 7: New Directions, War, and Scandal Chapter 8: The Reagan and Beyond Chapter 9: A False Dawn for Democrats: 1996-2004 Chapter 10: The Winds of Political Change: 2008 Chapter 11: Stability in the White House: Forecast for 2012 Chapter 12: Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics
