- ホーム
- > 洋書
- > 英文書
- > Psychology
Full Description
In an era defined by strategic surprise, pervasive disinformation, and the accelerating fusion of artificial intelligence with traditional tradecraft, the demands on intelligence analysts have never been greater—or more complex. This fully revised and expanded second edition of Intelligence Analysis Fundamentals equips both aspiring and veteran analysts with the enduring principles and cutting-edge practices required to turn fragmented data into actionable foresight.
Since the first edition appeared, the global threat landscape has been reshaped by Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the protracted Gaza war and its ripple effects across the Middle East, Houthi disruption of Red Sea shipping lanes, and the transformative role of commercial space systems—most notably SpaceX's Starlink constellation and the emerging Starshield intelligence architecture. Simultaneously, generative AI, large-language models, and autonomous sensing platforms have begun reshaping collection, processing, and analytic judgment itself. These developments are not theoretical; they are already altering how intelligence is gathered, analyzed, and disseminated in real time. Written by a practitioner-scholar with decades of operational experience across military, law-enforcement, and corporate intelligence environments, this edition integrates declassified and open-source case studies—from the predictive failures preceding October 7, 2023, to the rapid exploitation of commercial satellite imagery in Ukraine—that illuminate both best practices and the recurring pitfalls that lead to intelligence failure. Sixteen comprehensively updated chapters follow the complete intelligence cycle, enriched with new sections on OSINT in contested environments, AI-assisted analysis and its cognitive risks, counter-deception in the information age, and structured analytic techniques proven to mitigate bias. Designed as the definitive textbook for undergraduate and graduate intelligence studies programs—and as an essential desk reference for working professionals—this second edition combines conceptual clarity with practical immediacy. End-of-chapter exercises, red-team simulations, and a companion online resource suite enable students to apply rigorous tradecraft to contemporary problems, while seasoned analysts will find fresh frameworks for navigating today's hybrid and hyper-connected threat environment.
Intelligence Analysis Fundamentals, Second Edition is more than an update; it is a field-tested guide to mastering the craft of intelligence in an age of permanent disruption. Whether you are preparing for a career in the intelligence community, teaching the next generation of analysts, or seeking to sharpen your professional edge, this book delivers the foundational knowledge and practical wisdom required to anticipate, understand, and outthink tomorrow's adversaries.
Contents
1. Defining Intelligence Analysis 2. The Intelligence Cycle 3. Thinking About Thinking 4. Perception and Deception 5. Knowing Your Audience 6. Analytical Communication 7. Brainstorming Techniques Used to Define the Problem 8. Generate the Hypothesis 9. The Collection Process 10. The Art and Science of Analytical Tradecraft 11. Navigating Cognitive Traps in Intelligence Analysis 12. Probability Estimation and the Visualisation of Data 13. Crafting an Analytical Plan for Intelligence Operations 14. Preparing and Conducting Intelligence Briefings 15. Best Practices 16. OPSEC: Protect What Matters Most
