Full Description
Condensed into a detailed analysis and a selection of continent-wide datasets, this revised edition of World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century addresses the role of educational attainment in global population trends and models. Presenting the full chapter text of the original edition alongside a concise selection of data, it summarizes past trends in fertility, mortality, migration, and education, and examines relevant theories to identify key determining factors.
Deriving from a global survey of hundreds of experts and five expert meetings on as many continents, World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century: An Overview emphasizes alternative trends in human capital, new ways of studying ageing and the quantification of alternative population, and education pathways in the context of global sustainable development. It is an ideal companion to the county specific online Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer.
Contents
1: Wolfgang Lutz and William P. Butz: Introduction
2: Wolfgang Lutz and Vegard Skirbekk: How Education Drives Demography and Knowledge Informs Projections
3: Stuart Basten, Tomas Sobotka, and Krystof Zeman: Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries
4: Regina Fuchs and Anne Goujon: Future Fertility in High Fertility Countries
5: Graziella Caselli, Sven Drefahl, Marc Luy, and Christian Wegner-Siegmundt: Future Mortality in Low Mortality Countries
6: Alessandra Garbero and Elsie Pamuk: Future Mortality in High Mortality
7: Nikola Sander, Guy Abel, and Fernando Riosmena: The Future of International Migration
8: Bilal Barakat and Rachel Durham: Future Education Trends
9: Samir KC, Michaela Potancková, Ramon Bauer, Anne Goujon, and Erich Striessnig: Data and Methods
10: Wolfgang Lutz and Samir KC: The Rise of Global Human Capital and the End of World Population Growth
11: Sergei Scherbov, Warren Sanderson, Samir KC, and Wolfgang Lutz: Remeasuring 21st Century Population Ageing
12: Samir KC and Wolfgang Lutz: Alternative Scenarios in the Context of Sustainable Development
Wolfgang Lutz: Epilogue: Education Changes our View of the Future
Appendix I: Forecasting Mortality Convergence up to 2100
Appendix II: Tabular Appendix
