Clear Thinking : Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers

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Clear Thinking : Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers

著者名：Pherson, Randolph H./Donner, Ole/Gnad, Oliver
価格 ¥12,141 （本体¥11,038）
Springer（2024/02/28発売）
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ポイント 2,750pt　（実際に付与されるポイントはご注文内容確認画面でご確認下さい）

言語：ENG
ISBN：9783031487651
eISBN：9783031487668

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Description

This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.

Chapter 1. Setting the Stage.- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2.- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic.- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin!.- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm.- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic?.- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product.- Chapter 8. Outlook.