Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

著者名：Ying, Jun

Springer（2019/09/06発売）

• 言語：ENG
• ISBN：9789813298439
• eISBN：9789813298446

Description

This book discusses the sources of uncertainty in future model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming. It mainly focuses on cloud radiation feedback and ocean dynamical effect, which reveal to be the two greatest sources of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern. Moreover, the book presents a correction for model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern based on the concept of “observational constraints”; the corrected projection exhibits a more El Niño-like warming pattern.

Table of Contents

Introduction.- Evaluating the formation mechanisms of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern in CMIP5 multi-model ensemble.- Influence of cloud radiation feedback on the uncertainty in projecting tropical Pacific SST warming pattern.- Effects of large-scale ocean dynamics on the uncertainty in projecting tropical Pacific SST warming pattern.- Correcting the multi-model ensemble tropical Pacific SST warming pattern.- Summary and prospects.