Description
Defense of Scientific Hypothesis: From Reproducibility Crisis to Big Data sets out to explain and defend the scientific hypothesis. Alger's mission is to counteract the misinformation and misunderstanding about the hypothesis that even seasoned scientists have concerning its nature and place in modern science. Most biological scientists receive little or no formal training in scientific thinking. Further, the hypothesis is under attack by critics who claim that it is irrelevant to science. In order to appreciate and evaluate scientific controversies like global climate change, vaccine safety, etc., the public first needs to understand the hypothesis. Defense of Scientific Hypothesis begins by describing and analyzing the scientific hypothesis in depth and examining its relationships to various kinds of science. Alger then guides readers through a review of the hypothesis in the context of the Reproducibility Crisis and presents survey data on how scientists perceive and employ hypotheses. He assesses cognitive factors that influence our ability to use the hypothesis and makes practical and policy recommendations for teaching and learning about it. Finally, Alger considers two possible futures of the hypothesis in science as the Big Data revolution looms: in one scenario, the hypothesis is displaced by the Big Data Mindset that forgoes understanding in favor of correlation and prediction. In the other, robotic science incorporates the hypotheses into mechanized laboratories guided by artificial intelligence. But in his illuminating epilogue, Alger envisions a third way, the Centaur Scientist, a symbiotic relationship between human scientists and computers.
Table of Contents
AcknowledgementsIntroductionChapter 1: Philosophical Background MattersChapter 2: The Scientific Hypothesis TodayChapter 3: Critical Rationalism - Common Questions Asked and AnsweredChapter 4: Kinds of ScienceChapter 5: Statistics and Statistical HypothesesChapter 6: Bayesian Basics and the Scientific HypothesisChapter 7: The Reproducibility CrisisChapter 8: Advantages of the HypothesisChapter 9: What Scientists Think About Scientific Thinking Chapter 10: Opponents of the Hypothesis: Stuart Firestein, David J. Glass, and David DeutschChapter 11: Automatic Thinking: Hypotheses, Biases, and Inductive ReasoningChapter 12: Thinking Rationally About Heuristics and Biases Chapter 13: The Hypothesis in Science EducationChapter 14: How to Improve Your Own Scientific Thinking Chapter 15: The Future of the Hypothesis: The Big Data Mindset Versus the Robot ScientistEpilogue
