The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process : Project Management in Prevention and Support (essentials) （1st ed. 2023. 2023. xii, 77 S. XII, 77 p. 48 illus. 210 mm）

Hellwig, Marcus

SPRINGER, BERLIN; SPRINGER NATURE SWITZERLAND; SPRING（2023発売）

• 製本 Paperback:紙装版/ペーパーバック版
• 商品コード 9783031311895

Full Description

With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave".

Contents

Occasion, derived from a letter to the editor.- Objectives.- SIR model as a basis for a probabilistic model.- Introduction: Consideration of an infection interval for a federal state.- The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb density function.- Random ranges of NV and Eqb.- Presentation of the equibalance distribution, Eqb.- Infection management in connection with the course of the incidence.- Infection, avoidance and healing process, feedback.- Representation of a process management.- Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology.- Summary.