Since the rational expectations revolution in macroeconomics, the subject has changed massively, adopting the principles behind the revolution and building on them in a spectacular way. In this accessible and informative book, the authors guide the student through what has become the conceptual and mathematical maze of modern macroeconomics. It is intended primarily for the postgraduate student but will also be useful for upper level undergraduates. It explains the basics of each topic and provides a solid grounding for the student to tackle more complex and detailed material in the area.The topics covered include:* an introduction to the traditional macro-classical macro/adaptive expectations* how to understand and solve standard macro models with rational expectations* implications of rational expectations for monetary and fiscal policy* the open economy* the new models of representative agents and real business cycles* the political economy of economic policy (the 'political business cycle') and independent central banks* the supply-side, unemployment and growth * empirical testing of the rational expectations hypothesis* the efficient markets hypothesis with empirical applications including bond and exchange markets* learning, time series-linear and nonlinear.
Full ContentsMacroeconomics: A Succinct Introduction 2. Solving Rational Expectations Models 3. Partial Information and Signal Extraction Part II: Evaluating Government Policy 4. Stabilisation Policy - Can We? 5. Stabilization Policy - Should We? 6. Practical Issues of Effective Stabilization 7. Fiscal Policy and the Government Budget Constraint 8. The Political Economy of Democracy 9. Unemployment, Productivity and Growth Part III: Extending and Deepening the Models - The Open Economy and Micro-foundations 10. The Macroeconomics of an Open Economy 11. Representative Agent Models in Cashless Economies 12. Money in Representative Agent Models 13. Open Economy Representative Agent Models Part IV: Confronting Models with Facts 14. Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis 15. Interpreting the Evidence: The Problem of Observational Equivalence 16. Direct Tests of Rational Expectations 17. Where Are We Going? Time-Series Annex: An Introduction to Linear and Non-Linear Time Series Bibliography Index