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Full Description
Since its first edition in 1982, Change and Continuity has been known for offering the best analysis and explanation of voting behaviour in recent elections and setting those results in the context of larger trends and patterns in elections studies. Year after year, the top-notch author team meticulously and accessibly explains and displays the National Election Studies data and analyzes its impact while making use of the most recent scholarship. This edition covers the 2012 presidential and congressional elections and includes an all-new chapter on the 2014 mid-term election. It examines the social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues that affected voting behaviour, and offers conclusions about what the results mean for the future of American politics.
Contents
Chapter 1Who RanThe Rules of the Nomination SystemThe Dynamics of Multicandidate CampaignsChapter 2: The General Election CampaignThe Strategic Context and Candidates' ChoicesPolitical Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening MovesFrom the Conventions to the DebatesThe End Game and the Struggle over TurnoutDid the Campaign Make a Difference?Chapter 3: The Election ResultsThe Election RulesThe Pattern of ResultsState-by-State ResultsElectoral Change in the Postwar SouthThe Electoral Vote BalanceChapter 4: Who Voted?Voter Turnout, 1789-1916Voter Turnout, 1920-2012Voter Turnout among Social GroupsChanges in Turnout after 1960Election-Specific FactorsDoes Low Voter Turnout Matter?Chapter 5: Social Forces and the VoteHow Social Groups Voted in 2012How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar YearsWhy the New Deal Coalition Broke DownChapter 6: Candidates, Issues, and the VoteAttitudes toward the CandidatesProspective EvaluationsIssue Positions and PerceptionsIssue Voting CriteriaApparent Issue Voting in 2012ConclusionChapter 7: Presidential Performance and Candidate ChoiceWhat Is Retrospective Voting?Evaluations of Government Performance on Important ProblemsEconomic Evaluations and the Vote for the IncumbentForeign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the IncumbentEvaluations of the IncumbentThe Impact of Retrospective EvaluationsConclusionChapter 8: Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the VoteParty Identification: The Original ViewParty Identification: An Alternative ViewParty Identification in the ElectorateHispanic Partisanship in 2008 and 2012Party Identification and the VotePolicy Preferences and Performance EvaluationsConclusionChapter 9: Candidates and Outcomes in 2012Election Outcomes in 2012Candidates' Resources and Election OutcomesThe 2012 Elections: The Impact on CongressThe 2014 Elections and BeyondChapter 10: The Congressional Electorate in 2012Social Forces and the Congressional VoteIssues and the Congressional VoteParty Identification and the Congressional VoteIncumbency and the Congressional VoteThe Congressional Vote as ReferendumPresidential Coattails and the Congressional VoteConclusionChapter 11: The 2014 Congressional ElectionsThe Pattern of OutcomesAssessing Victory and Explaining the ResultsNational and Local Influences in Congressional ElectionsThe 2014 Elections: The Impact on CongressThe 2016 Elections and BeyondChapter 12: The 2012 and 2014 Elections and the Future of American PoliticsAre Midterm Elections Predictive?Prospects for the DemocratsProspects for the RepublicansChapter 13: The Dynamics of American ElectionsThe Great Continuities: The Electoral System and the Party SystemThe Great Change: Depolarization and the Return of Partisan PolarizationChange and Continuity in TurnoutContinuities in Electoral PartisanshipChanges in the Partisan ElectorateChange and Continuity in the U.S. Congress
