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Full Description
Do you think that Mitt Romney's "47%" comment caused him to lose the 2012 presidential election? Or that Richard Nixon lost the 1960 presidential election because he sweated on TV? Maybe John Kerry was "swiftboated" out of the presidency in 2004? Think again! In Predicting the Next President, political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
Contents
Chapter 1Chapter 2: Turning the Keys to the PresidencyChapter 3: Civil War and ReconstructionChapter 4: The Gilded AgeChapter 5: Rise and Fall of ProgressivismChapter 6: Depression, War, and Cold WarChapter 7: New Directions, War, and ScandalChapter 8: The Reagan and BeyondChapter 9: A False Dawn for Democrats: 1996-2004Chapter 10: The Winds of Political Change: 2008Chapter 11: Stability in the White House 2012Chapter 12: Will the Obama Legacy Stand? Forecast for 2016Chapter 13: Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics
