証拠による意思決定理論 Evidential Decision Theory (Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy)

Ahmed, Arif

Cambridge University Press（2021/10発売）

• 製本 Paperback:紙装版/ペーパーバック版／ページ数 75 p.
• 言語 ENG
• 商品コード 9781108713399
• DDC分類 121.65

Full Description

Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.

Contents

1. Introduction; 2. News Value; 3. Self-signalling; 4. Randomization; 5. Harmony; 6. Conclusion; Appendix A: Non-binary News Value; Appendix B: Randomization and Accuracy; Appendix C: Jeffrey-Bolker Representation Theorem.