Arms Races, Arms Control, and Conflict Analysis : Contributions from Peace Science and Peace Economics

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Arms Races, Arms Control, and Conflict Analysis : Contributions from Peace Science and Peace Economics

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  • 製本 Paperback:紙装版/ペーパーバック版/ページ数 529 p.
  • 言語 ENG,ENG
  • 商品コード 9780521368421
  • DDC分類 327.174

Full Description


Demonstrating the ways in which work in a broad range of fields can be pulled together in the analysis of conflict, this book provides the reader with a general introduction to the principles of conflict analysis and lays a methodological foundation for the further development of the interdisciplinary field of peace science. The text begins with an extensive survey of arms race models, from the classic Richardson model to models exploring the effects of factors such as the domestic and international economic environment, public opinion and party politics, and weapons technology and information development. The processes of individual and group problem-solving, in both crisis and non-crisis conditions, are examined, drawing on work in economics, operations research, cognitive science, and artificial intelligence. Building on this diverse body of work, the author moves on to develop a framework for conflict management with which to approach a variety of conflict situations and applies this procedure to the United States-Soviet arms control conflict. Walter Isard is cited by Mark Blaug as one of the Great Economists Since Keynes (CUP, 1989 paper edition).

Table of Contents

List of illustrations
List of tables
Preface
Acknowledgments
1. Introduction and overview
Part I. Basic Framework and Set of Analysis: 2.
A survey of arms race models
3. Individual and group behaviour: noncrisis
situation
4. A more formal cognitive framework for
individual and group behaviour
5. Decision-making behavior under major
psychological stress and crisis conditions
6. Learning, problem solving, and information
research and development
7. Policy space analysis: the choice of
policies regarding arms expenditures and other
issues and the value of information development
8. National security reasoning: the nature and
effectiveness of political argument
9. World system models: incorporation of
military expenditures and arms trade
10. Negotiation/mediation principles and
qualitative and quantitative conflict
management procedures
11. Potential for a specific application: the
U.S.-Soviet arms control conflict problem
12. Summary of Part I and conclusions
Part II. Some Advanced Analyses: 13. Synthesis
of arms race models
14. Learning by a group, its leader, and its
individual members
15. Information research and development from a
dynamical system viewpoint
16. Invention and innovation in information
research and development for problem solving:
an exploratory view
Notation
Author index
Subject index.