Climate and Social Stress : Implications for Security Analysis (Climate Change)

Husbands, Jo L. (EDT)/ Stern, Paul C. (EDT)/ Steinbruner, John D. (EDT)

National Academies Press（2013/01発売）

• 製本 Paperback:紙装版/ペーパーバック版／ページ数 252 p.
• 言語 ENG
• 商品コード 9780309278560
• DDC分類 304.25

Full Description

Climate change can reasonably be expected to increase the frequency and intensity of a variety of potentially disruptive environmental events--slowly at first, but then more quickly. It is prudent to expect to be surprised by the way in which these events may cascade, or have far-reaching effects. During the coming decade, certain climate-related events will produce consequences that exceed the capacity of the affected societies or global systems to manage; these may have global security implications. Although focused on events outside the United States, Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis recommends a range of research and policy actions to create a whole-of-government approach to increasing understanding of complex and contingent connections between climate and security, and to inform choices about adapting to and reducing vulnerability to climate change.

Contents

1 Front Matter; 2 Summary; 3 1 Climate Change as a National Security Concern; 4 2 Climate Change, Vulnerability, and National Security: A Conceptual Framework; 5 3 Potentially Disruptive Climate Events; 6 4 How Climate Events Can Lead to Social and Political Stresses; 7 5 Climate Events and National Security Outcomes; 8 6 Methods for Assessing National Security Threats; 9 References; 10 Appendix A: Committee Member and Staff Biographies; 11 Appendix B: Briefings Received by the Committee; 12 Appendix C: Method for Developing Figure 3-1; 13 Appendix D: Statistical Methods for Assessing Probabilities of Extreme Events; 14 Appendix E: Foundations for Monitoring ClimateSecurity Connections