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Full Description
Robert Engle received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 2003 for his work in time series econometrics. This book contains 16 original research contributions by some the leading academic researchers in the fields of time series econometrics, forecasting, volatility modelling, financial econometrics and urban economics, along with historical perspectives related to field of time series econometrics more generally.
Engle's Nobel Prize citation focuses on his path-breaking work on autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and the profound effect that this work has had on the field of financial econometrics. Several of the chapters focus on conditional heteroskedasticity, and develop the ideas of Engle's Nobel Prize winning work. Engle's work has had its most profound effect on the modelling of financial variables and several of the chapters use newly developed time series methods to study the behavior of financial variables. Each of the 16 chapters may be read in isolation, but they all importantly build on and relate to the seminal work by Nobel Laureate Robert F. Engle.
Contents
Introduction ; 1. Measuring Downside Risk- Realized Semivariance ; 2. Modelling UK Inflation Uncertainty, 1958-2006 ; 3. Glossary to ARCH ; 4. A Multifactor Nonlinear, Continuous-time Model of Interest Rate Volatility ; 5. Volatility Regimes and Global Equity Returns ; 6. The Long Run Shift-Share: Modelling the Sources of Metropolitan Sectoral Fluctuations ; 7. Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility, Worldwide ; 8. Estimating the Implied Risk Neutral Density for the U.S. Market Portfolio ; 9. Multivariate Autocontours for Specification Testing in Multivariate GARCH Models ; 10. A History of Econometrics at the University of California, San Diego, A Personal Viewpoint ; 11. Macroeconomics and ARCH ; 12. An Automatic test of Super Exogeneity ; 13. Changes in the Volatility of Residential Investment in the United States ; 14. Generalized Forecast Errors, A Change of Measure and Forecast Optimality Conditions ; 15. Trade by Trade, Financial Transaction Price Dynamics and Limit Order Placement ; 16. Modelling Autoregressive Conditional Skewness and Kurtosis with Multi-Quantile CAViaR