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By 2030 more than three quarters of the world's absolute poor are projected to live in Africa. Accelerating economic growth is key to rising incomes on the continent, and central to this challenge is establishing activities that are capable of employing large numbers of unskilled workers, that can raise productivity through innovation, and that can power growth through exports. Such structural transformation is a key driver of growth, and between 1950-1996 about half of the economic catch-up by developing countries (led by East Asia) was due to rising productivity in manufacturing combined with growing agricultural output. Africa, however, has lagged behind.
In 2014, the average share of manufacturing in GDP in sub-Saharan Africa hovered around 10 per cent, unchanged from the 1970s, leading some observers to be pessimistic about Africa's potential to catch the wave of sustained rapid growth and rising incomes. Industries Without Smokestacks: Industrialization in Africa Reconsidered challenges this view. It argues that other activities sharing the characteristics of manufacturing- including tourism, ICT, and other services as well as food processing and horticulture- are beginning to play a role analogous to that played by manufacturing in East Asia. This reflects not only changes in the global organization of industries since the early era of rapid East Asian growth, but also advantages unique to Africa. These 'industries without smokestacks' offer new opportunities for Africa to grow in coming decades.
Contents
1: Richard Newfarmer, John Page, and Finn Tarp: Industries without smokestacks and structural transformation in Africa: overview
2: Sally Murray: New technologies create opportunities
3: Cláudio R. Frischtak: Telecommunication and ICT-based services trade
4: Jack Daly and Gary Gereffi: Tourism global value chains and Africa
5: Emiko Fukase and Will Martin: Agro-processing and horticultural exports from Africa
6: Heinrich C. Bofinger: Air transport in Africa: A portrait of capacity and competition in various market segments
7: Charles Kunaka, Gaël Raballand, and Mike Fitzmaurice: How trucking services have improved and may contribute to economic development: the case of East Africa
8: Bernard Hoekman: Trade in services: opening markets to create opportunities
9: Mulu Gebreeyesus: Implications for Ethiopia's industrialization
10: Nkechi S. Owoo and Monica P. Lambon-Quayefio: The agro-processing industry and its potential for structural transformation of the Ghanaian economy
11: Dianah Ngui Muchai and Peter Kimuyu: Prospects for information and communications technology-enabled services in Kenya: the case of the mobile money transfer industry
12: António S. Cruz and Fausto J. Mafambissa: Industries without smokestacks: Mozambique country case study
13: E. Philip English: Senegal: a service economy in need of an export boost
14: Haroon Bhorat, Christopher Rooney, and François Steenkamp: Understanding and characterizing the services sector in South Africa: an overview
15: Mia Ellis, Margaret McMillan, and Jed Silver: Employment and productivity growth in Tanzania's service sector
16: Kasim Ggombe and Richard Newfarmer: Rwanda: From devastation to services-first transformation
17: John Spray and Sebastian Wolf: Industries without smokestacks in Uganda and Rwanda
18: Stephen Karingi, Ottavia Pesce, and Lily Sommer: Regional opportunities in East Africa
19: Jaime de Melo, Mariem Nouar, and Jean-Marc Solleder: Integration along the Abuja road map: a progress report
20: Richard Newfarmer, John Page, and Finn Tarp: Widening the options: implications for public policy