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基本説明
In this book a more radical suggestion for explaining these puzzling aspects of human reasoning is put forward: the Western conception of the mind as a logical system is flawed at the very outset.
Full Description
Are people rational? This question was central to Greek thought and has been at the heart of psychology and philosophy for millennia. This book provides a radical and controversial reappraisal of conventional wisdom in the psychology of reasoning, proposing that the Western conception of the mind as a logical system is flawed at the very outset. It argues that cognition should be understood in terms of probability theory, the calculus of uncertain reasoning, rather than in terms of logic, the calculus of certain reasoning.
Contents
1. Logic and the Western conception of mind ; 2. Rationality and rational analysis ; 3. Reasoning in the the real world: how much deduction is there? ; 4. The probabilistic turn ; 5. Does the exception prove the rule? How people reason with conditionals ; 6. Being economical with the evidence: collecting data and testing hypotheses ; 7. An uncertain quantity: how people reason with syllogisms ; 8. The rational analysis of mind: a dialogue



