Clear Thinking : Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers (Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations)

Pherson, Randolph H./ Donner, Ole/ Gnad, Oliver

Springer International Publishing AG（2025/03発売）

• 製本 Paperback:紙装版/ペーパーバック版／ページ数 243 p.
• 言語 ENG
• 商品コード 9783031487682
• DDC分類 658.4012

Full Description

This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.

Contents

Chapter 1. Setting the Stage.- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2.- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic.- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin!.- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm.- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic?.- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product.- Chapter 8. Outlook.