- ホーム
- > 洋書
- > 英文書
- > Politics / International Relations
Full Description
This insightful and timely book considers the role of great-power competition in what has come to be known as gray zone conflict. Based on cutting-edge empirical research, it addresses the question: how can interactions between adversaries in international crises be managed in ways which avoid dangerous escalation?
Drawing together diverse perspectives, an interdisciplinary team of academics and policy analysts take a data-driven approach to analyzing international crises over the past 100 years. Taking the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine as a backdrop for critical evaluation, chapters examine US and NATO approaches to the management of escalation in asymmetric conflicts. Ultimately, the book identifies areas where classical deterrence theory is incompatible with the realities of the contemporary conflict environment, and proposes innovative tools for managing crises in the future.
Providing historical overviews of escalation management in international crises, this comprehensive book is essential reading for students and scholars of international politics, international relations, terrorism and security, and foreign policy, particularly those studying Chinese, Russian and US strategic decision making. It will also be beneficial to policy analysts, military leaders, and journalists focusing on contemporary international issues.
Contents
Contents:
Introduction: managing escalation in international crises 1
Jonathan Wilkenfeld and Egle E. Murauskaite
1 International crises and the gray zone: tracing crises through history 17
Egle E. Murauskaite
2 Gray zone: defining the space in between 30
Allison Astorino-Courtois
3 Conceptual framework for managing international crises, 1990-2020 52
Egle E. Murauskaite and Allison Astorino-Courtois
4 One hundred years of international crises, 1918-2018 78
Jonathan Wilkenfeld and David Quinn
5 Regime, power, state capacity, and the use of violence in gray zone international crises 110
Egle E. Murauskaite, David Quinn, Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Allison Astorino-Courtois, and Corinne S. DeFrancisci
6 Escalation management in gray zone crises: the proxy factor 143
Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Egle E. Murauskaite, David Quinn, Devin H. Ellis, Allison Astorino-Courtois, and Corinne S. DeFrancisci
7 Public opinion in the gray zone 174
Catarina P. Thomson
8 Modeling and analyzing gray zone scenarios for crises in the Aegean Sea and South China Sea 201
Alexander H. Levis
9 Exploring the role of U.S. information operations in gray zone crises 231
Devin H. Ellis
10 Toolkit for planners and operators in gray zone crisis environments 249
Robert J. Elder and Allison Astorino-Courtois
Index 275
