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Full Description
In this authoritative book, leading international experts examine the use of scenario analyses and modelling in environmental assessments, highlighting their potential uses in making evidence-based decisions to address the risks and adverse impacts of rapid environmental change such as global warming and the loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services.
In addition to theoretical and conceptual issues, contributors analyse the latest research on the applications of scenarios and models, and discuss the opportunities and challenges in using them for policy relevant research and action. Chapters include in-depth case studies from Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, North and South America as well as those with a global or regional focus, providing a comprehensive review of the available tools and frameworks for conducting environmental assessments in diverse contexts. This book offers a roadmap for strengthening the science policy interface for environmental decision-making.
Environmental Assessments will be crucial reading for scholars, postgraduate students, practitioners and policy makers working in ecological economics and ecology, biodiversity and ecosystem services, climate change and natural resources. It will be particularly useful for those working for international and intergovernmental agencies, national governments, businesses and NGOs looking to make informed decisions about responses to environmental change.
Contents
Contents:
Foreword Anne Larigauderie
Preface
1 Introduction 1
K.N. Ninan
PART I THEORETICAL AND CONCEPTUAL ISSUES
2 Developing national scale integrated social-ecological
scenarios for Canada's oceans and marine fisheries 37
Louise S.L. Teh, William W.L. Cheung and U. Rashid Sumaila
3 Improving estimates of the economic effects of climate change
in integrated assessment models 51
Lydia F. Prieg and Dmitry Yumashev
4 Monitoring and projecting land use and land cover change at
multiple spatial scales 68
Isabel M.D. Rosa
PART II APPLICATIONS AND CASE STUDIES
5 The future value of ecosystem services: global scenarios and
national implications 81
Ida Kubiszewski, Robert Costanza, Sharolyn Anderson and
Paul Sutton
6 Models and strategies for prioritizing the control of invasive
exotic weeds in protected areas: theoretical and pragmatic
challenges 109
Clement A. Tisdell, Bruce A. Auld and Stephen B. Johnson
7 Modelling the role of livestock intensification and
deforestation in Brazil's nationally determined contribution on
emissions mitigation
126
Rafael De Oliveira Silva, Luis Gustavo Barioni and Dominic
Moran
8 Spatial modelling and BAU scenario analysis of Cambodian
forest 143
Ram Avtar, Ridhika Aggarwal and Rajesh Bahadur Thapa
9 Climate change and British Columbia's staple seafood supply
and prices 162
U. Rashid Sumaila and Vicky W.Y. Lam
10 Key socio-economic drivers for environmental change in Latin
America and the Caribbean since 1960: trends, interactions
and impacts 179
Ramón Pichs-Madruga
11 Ecosystem service assessment and mapping for sustainable
management of wetlands in Kerala, India 200
Michael Sinclair, Andrea Ghermandi, Sheela A. Moses and
Sabu Joseph
12 The Scenario Collaboratory: a framework for integrating
environmental assessments and scenarios into municipal
planning 215
Liliana Caughman, Noel Plemmons, Fletcher Beaudoin,
Michele Crim and Vivek Shandas
13 Participatory modelling in adaptive environmental
management: a case study in semi-arid northern Nicaragua 231
Federica Ravera, David Tarrasón, Klaus Hubacek, Roberto
Molowny-Horas and Jan Sendzimir
Index 249
