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Full Description
How much should we trust the polls on the latest electoral campaign? When a physician tells us that a diagnosis of cancer is 90% certain or a nutritionist tells us what is healthy to eat, what should we believe? Questions such as these are greatly important, yet many of us have only a vague sense of how to answer them. In Is That a Fact?, Mark Battersby aims not only to explain how to identify misleading statistics and research, but also to give readers the understanding necessary to evaluate and use statistical information in their own decision making. This second edition is revised and updated throughout and includes a new chapter on weighing risk in personal and public decision making.
Contents
Acknowledgements
Introduction
CHAPTER 1: How to Li(v)e with Statistics: Why We Need to Think about Statistical and Scientific Information
CHAPTER 2: Introduction to Critical Thinking
CHAPTER 3: Polling: The Basics
CHAPTER 4: Sampling Woes and Other Biases
CHAPTER 5: The Facts Ma'am, Nothing but the Facts: Getting Good Data
CHAPTER 6: Making Sense of Data: What Does It All Mean?
CHAPTER 7: The Power of Graphs
CHAPTER 8: Correlations: What Goes with What?
CHAPTER 9: Finding the Cause: Evaluating Causal Claims
CHAPTER 10: Evaluating Scientific Claims: Looking at the Context
CHAPTER 11: Using What You've Learned: Finding and Evaluating Scientific Information
CHAPTER 12: Probability and Judgement
CHAPTER 13: Studies Show, But So What?
CHAPTER 14: Decision Making Examples: Individual Risk and Uncertainty and Public Policy
Glossary
Index
