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Full Description
The Analytic Network Process (ANP) developed by Thomas Saaty in his work on multicriteria decision making applies network structures with dependence and feedback to complex decision making. This book is a selection of applications of ANP to economic, social and political decisions, and also to technological design. The chapters comprise contributions of scholars, consultants and people concerned about the outcome of certain important decisions who applied the Analytic Network Process to determine the best outcome for each decision from among several potential outcomes. The ANP is a methodological tool used to organize knowledge and thinking, elicit judgments registered in both in memory and in feelings, quantify the judgments and derive priorities from them, and finally synthesize these diverse priorities into a single mathematically and logically justifiable overall outcome. In deriving this outcome, the ANP also allows for the representation of diverse opinions in the midst of discussion and debate.
Contents
The Analytic Network Process.- Forecasting the Resurgence of the U.S. Economy in 2001: An Expert Judgment Approach.- An Analytic Network Process Model for Financial-Crisis Forecasting.- Outsourcing a Firm's Application Development Group.- ANWR - Artic National Wildlife Refuge: an ANP Validation Example.- The Ford Explorer Case.- Pennsylvania High-Speed Maglev Project.- U.S. Energy Security.- Stabilizing Social Security for the Long-Term.- The Most Hopeful Outcome in the Middle East Conflict: The Analytic Network Process Approach.- The Conflict Between China and Taiwan.- U. S. Response to North Korean Nuclear Threat.- Criteria for Evaluating Group Decision-Making Methods.
