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Full Description
The Eastern Enlargement of the EU will not be complete until the new member states join the EMU. Economic and political economy arguments point to fast EMU accession of new member states. Failure to do so will create a two speed Europe, a fundamental change in the economic and political architecture of the EU, adding to the strains already evident between core and peripheral countries. Current high level of trade and business cycle integration of new member states with the Eurozone, decreases the probability of asymmetric shocks. Lower transaction costs, elimination of exchange rate risk and the danger of currency crises, further trade and investment creation, lower interest rates and large fiscal gains, should outweigh the loss of the exchange rate as adjustment tool. The Eastern Enlargement of the Eurozone provides comprehensive economic analysis of theoretical, empirical and political issues that will determine whether EMU enlargement is a success, which has implications for all common currency systems.
Contents
When Should the New Member States Join EMU?.- The Exchange Rate: Shock Generator or Shock Absorber?.- Do the New Member States Fit the Optimum-Currency-Area Criteria?.- EMU Enlargement and Trade Creation.- Future EMU Membership and Wage Flexibility.- Exchange Rate Regimes and Nominal Convergence.- EMU Enlargement and the Choice of Euro Conversion Rates.- The Short-Run Macroeconomic Effects of Discretionary Fiscal Policy Changes.- How to Reform the Stability and Growth Pact.- Uneven Growth in a Monetary Union.- ECB Decision-Making in an Enlarged EMU.- A Strategy for EMU Enlargement.
