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Full Description
Predicting future violence among criminal offenders is notoriously difficult. In the previous editions of this popular book, the authors argued that community risk management is best done with actuarial assessment. Combining what is known about violence prediction, clinical decision making, and the literature on treatment outcome and program evaluation, they introduced and chronicled the development of their landmark assessment instruments, the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) and Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide. These have become go-to resources for forensic psychologists in the trenches today.
In this third edition, the authors review the major changes in the risk assessment field, which include a much larger and richer empirical literature, a focus on dynamic risk management among supervised offenders, and commentaries on the use and effectiveness of expert clinical judgment in determining risk. Perhaps most important, they also introduce the VRAG-R, a new actuarial tool that is easier to score than the VRAG and the SORAG while delivering equally accurate results. Written with the authors' usual clarity and keen insight, this book is a must-read for legal professionals and forensic psychologists, policymakers, and all those working with offender populations who hope to eliminate recidivism.
Contents
Acknowledgments
Introduction
I. Historical and Methodological Context
Historical Perspective and Early Prediction Research
Methods and Measurement
II. A New Generation of Follow-Up Research
Mentally Disordered and Other Violent Offenders
Sex Offenders
III. Development of Actuarial Violence Risk Assessment Tools
The Actuarial Prediction of Violence
IV. Changing the Practice of Violence Risk Assessment
Clinical Judgment
Criticisms of Actuarial Risk Assessment
V. Altering the Risk of Violence and Final Conclusions
Treatment and Management
Final Conclusions
Appendixes
A. Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG) Items and Norms
B. Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG) Items and Norms
C. Violence Risk Appraisal Guide amp ndash Revised (VRAG amp ndash R) Items and Norms
D. Supplementary Scoring Instructions for the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide, and the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide amp ndash Revised Items
E. General Questions About the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide, and the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide amp ndash Revised
F. Prorating and Substituting for Missing Items on the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide, and Violence Risk Appraisal Guide amp ndash Revised
G. Example Psychosocial History Suitable for Scoring the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide, and the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide amp ndash Revised
H. Example Psychosocial History Suitable for Scoring the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide and the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide amp ndash Revised
I. Model Risk Appraisal Report Based on the Psychosocial History in Appendix G Using the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide
J. Forensic Institutional Decisions or Recommendations Scheme
K. Problem Identification Checklist (File Version)
L. Proximal Risk Factor Scale
M. Dynamic Risk Appraisal Scale
References
Index
About the Authors
