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The essential book on technology-related competition between nations and its impact on the world Nations have long sought to use technology as a power-multiplier for their own ambitions. In the twenty-first century, at a time of unprecedented innovation, the United States and China are in a race to achieve technological superiority. But how will this affect long-standing trade ties and the international landscape?
Techno-nationalism holds that a nation's economic strength and its national security — even its social stability— are linked to the technological prowess of its institutions and enterprises. From artificial intelligence and biotechnology to semiconductors and quantum science, nations that fall behind in the technology race risk becoming permanent losers, with potentially catastrophic consequences. After decades of trade liberalization and free-flowing investment into China, a paradigm shift amongst a bloc of like-minded, mostly Western countries, has set in motion epic change. Techno-nationalism is reorganizing the global economy.
Alex Capri, who spent decades as a trade and supply chain professional in China and throughout the world, lays out the dynamics of this change and its underlying themes, from the paradox facing U.S.-China commercial linkages to the grey zones in which states and firms must now try to coexist. He provides a realist's perspective of both the challenges and opportunities facing international actors.
Regarding the elements of techno-nationalism, Capri paints a masterful picture of the strategic decoupling of supply chains and the re-shoring of key manufacturing ecosystems such as semiconductors. He provides an illuminating account of the geopolitics of data, and the fragmentation of the digital landscape, as well as the bifurcation of financial markets, academia, and R&D around Chinese and American spheres of influence.
These themes carry through to Capri's fascinating accounts of the modern-day space-race, and space-based Internet, undersea cables, hypersonic warfare, the AI arms race, drones, and robotics. The book's clear explanations of semiconductors and their importance is highly useful.
TECHNO-Nationalism is a must-read for business and government leaders, investors and strategists, academics, journalists, NGOs, or anyone who wants to experience a thoroughly entertaining and educational account of one the most important issues of our time.
Contents
List of Illustrations & Diagrams xvii
List of Images xix
Part I The Elements of Techno-Nationalism 1
Introduction: My China Lessons 3
Three Important Lessons 5
The Origins of This Book 9
Chapter 1 Techno-Nationalism 11
Chapter 2 The Technology Feedback Loop 31
Chapter 3 Paradigm Shift and Paradox 51
Chapter 4 The In-China-for-China Grey Zone 63
Chapter 5 De-Risking and Decoupling 75
Chapter 6 Export Controls 85Chapter 7 Semiconductor Ground Zero 103
Chapter 8 China's Semiconductor Problem 121
Chapter 9 Re shoring Chip Manufacturing to America 133
Part II Undercurrents and Power-Multipliers 145
Chapter 10 The War Against Huawei 147
Chapter 11 Tradecraft, Stealth and Technology 165
Chapter 12 Data, Biotech and Geopolitics 181
Chapter 13 The AI Arms Race 205
Chapter 14 Quantum Technologies 219
Chapter 15 Hypersonic Speed 237
Chapter 16 The Great Undersea Cable Decoupling 247
Chapter 18 The Twenty-First-Century Space Race 275
Chapter 19 Drones, Robots and Autonomous Weapons 301
Part III Climate, Cleantech and Agritech 313
Chapter 20 Climate Change and Geopolitics 315
Chapter 21 The Geopolitics of Electric Vehicles 329
Chapter 22 Semiconductors and Electric Vehicle Wars 347
Chapter 23 Food Security and Techno-Nationalism 357
Part IV Innovation, Academia, Alliances and Diplomacy 369
Chapter 24 Techno-Nationalism on Campus 371
Chapter 25 Chip Schools 385
Chapter 26 The Innovation Horse Race 397
Chapter 27 India Rising? 413
Chapter 28 Fragmented Finance 427
Chapter 29 Techno-Diplomacy and the Road Ahead 441
Notes 457
Acknowledgements 505
Index 509
