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Prosper from the profitable opportunities of the next financial market super boom In 1976, Yale Hirsch predicted a fifteen-year super boom—a move in the stock market of 500% or more. His forecast proved accurate as the market rose and continued upward, eventually posting growth over 1,000% just before the tech crash in 2000. In Super Boom, Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor in Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, unveils the next market expansion. Building on his father's research from 1976, Hirsch has discovered that meteoric rises in stock indices are due to specific catalysts predominantly outside of the financial markets.
History has a way of repeating itself, especially in the financial markets. The American economy, and subsequently the world economy, has always existed in a cycle of boom and bust: gold, grain, oil, technology, and most recently, real estate, have all bubbled and popped. The key to investing profitably is spotting macroeconomic historical trends and positioning to reap the benefits. Step-by-step, Hirsch puts together the pieces of this puzzle by revealing the central drivers of a super boom.
Examines how new cultural paradigm-shifting technologies, as well as peace between major wars, could fuel a super boom
Discusses how the massive injection of money by the government, in response to the global financial crisis and the Great Recession, as well as wartime spending, will eventually create an inflationary environment
The data and research found here is based on historical information and the boom-and-bust cycle of the past century
As markets and economies struggle over the next several years, remember to keep your eye on the future and get ready for the coming super boom and the next 500% move in the market. With this book as your guide, you'll benefit from the insights that only Jeffrey Hirsch can provide.
Contents
Foreword ix
Acknowledgments xiii
PART I Anatomy of a Super Boom
Chapter 1 The Boom Equation 3
The math behind the move
Chapter 2 A Strangled Economy 15
From slump to powerhouse
PART II The Fortune Tellers
Chapter 3 The History of Ignorance and the Ignorance of History 37
Dow 36,000 and the dangers of erroneous assumptions
Chapter 4 An Argument against Financial Calamity 49
The best case for and against all hell breaking loose
Chapter 5 Yale Hirsch and the 500 Percent Move 57
Discovering the boom pattern
PART III Booms and Busts of the Twentieth Century
Chapter 6 Panics, World War I, and the Roaring Twenties 81
From the Rich Man's Panic to the first recorded super boom
Chapter 7 Depression, World War II, and the Baby Boom 87
The greatest generation births a boom
Chapter 8 Vietnam, Stagflation, and the Information Revolution 95
The greatest boom ever: bigger, faster, longer, higher
PART IV The Prodigal Pattern Returns
Chapter 9 Inflation 111
The history and impact of the Consumer Price Index
Chapter 10 Investment Ideas and Strategies 129
How to profit now and during a super boom
Appendix A Yale Hirsch's 1977 Stock Picks 149
Appendix B 1977 Smart Money Newsletter Reprinted 161
Key Terms 171
About the Author 175
Index 177
