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Full Description
Bayesian Econometric Methods examines principles of Bayesian inference by posing a series of theoretical and applied questions and providing detailed solutions to those questions. This second edition adds extensive coverage of models popular in finance and macroeconomics, including state space and unobserved components models, stochastic volatility models, ARCH, GARCH, and vector autoregressive models. The authors have also added many new exercises related to Gibbs sampling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. The text includes regression-based and hierarchical specifications, models based upon latent variable representations, and mixture and time series specifications. MCMC methods are discussed and illustrated in detail - from introductory applications to those at the current research frontier - and MATLAB® computer programs are provided on the website accompanying the text. Suitable for graduate study in economics, the text should also be of interest to students studying statistics, finance, marketing, and agricultural economics.
Contents
1. The subjective interpretation of probability; 2. Bayesian inference; 3. Point estimation; 4. Frequentist properties of Bayesian estimators; 5. Interval estimation; 6. Hypothesis testing; 7. Prediction; 8. Choice of prior; 9. Asymptotic Bayes; 10. The linear regression model; 11. Basics of random variate generation and posterior simulation; 12. Posterior simulation via Markov chain Monte Carlo; 13. Hierarchical models; 14. Latent variable models; 15. Mixture models; 16. Bayesian methods for model comparison, selection and big data; 17. Univariate time series methods; 18. State space and unobserved components models; 19. Time series models for volatility; 20. Multivariate time series methods; Appendix; Bibliography; Index.
