草の根の支配：アイオワ党員集会の大統領選挙への影響力 Grassroots Rules : How the Iowa Caucus Helps Elect American Presidents

草の根の支配：アイオワ党員集会の大統領選挙への影響力<br>Grassroots Rules : How the Iowa Caucus Helps Elect American Presidents

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草の根の支配：アイオワ党員集会の大統領選挙への影響力
Grassroots Rules : How the Iowa Caucus Helps Elect American Presidents

Hull, Christopher C.

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Stanford Law and Politics（2007/11発売）
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製本 Hardcover:ハードカバー版／ページ数 240 p.
言語 ENG
商品コード 9780804758031
DDC分類 324.5209777

Full Description

On February 10, 2007, Barack Obama stood before the Illinois capital building and announced his potentially historic presidential bid. The next day, he was in Iowa Falls, campaigning. He was far from the first—Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards, John McCain, and Mitt Romney were already swarming the Hawkeye State, seeking votes behind every hay bale.

Why Iowa?

After all, in the lead-up to the 2008 presidential primary, both Iowa and New Hampshire have come under significant fire—as usual. Critics like Sen. Carl Levin (D-Mich.) have charged that these early contests dominate the nomination process, yet are badly out of step with the ideology and demographics of the party and the country writ large. However, while New Hampshire has suffered a serious setback, Iowa has once again emerged as the first presidential primary contest, in part by arguing that its Precinct Caucus was a time-honored tradition that helped winnow the field with good old retail politicking and grassroots activism.

This debate comes to a head this coming Winter, when tens of thousands of Iowans will troop to libraries and churches, prepared for an hour or more of party business. Each of these party meetings, or "caucuses," will hold straw polls, the results of which will be broadcast around the world. One analysis found that the Caucus generates 143 times as much media coverage as other presidential primary contests, controlling for the date and size of the contest. In other words, being first thrusts the Iowa Caucus onto a towering public stage with extraordinary public interest.

Both of these factors—the normative public debate and the empirical public frenzy—demonstrate the need for a very close look at the Caucus, in all its warts and beauty. Grassroots Rules was written to provide just such a study.

Contents List of Illustrations Acknowledgments Chapter 1 The Cess Poll: Is the Iowa Caucus a Negative Force in Presidential Politics? Chapter 2 What's a Caucus? Iowa and the Presidential Nomination System Chapter 3 Who Cares About Iowa? The Caucus' Impact on the Nomination Chapter 4 From The "Big Mo" to "e-mentum:" Technology and Early States' Emerging Impact Chapter 5 Explaining What Matters: The Ground War, or the Air War? Chapter 6 Explaining What Matters: Ideological Intrigue or Strategic Voting? Chapter 7 Predicting What Happens: Estimating the Results of the Iowa Caucus Chapter 8 Is This Heaven? Some Conclusions - and Some Beginnings Appendix A: Notes on Data and Variables Used in the Study Notes Bibliography Index