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Full Description
This book places the 2014 elections in Florida in historical perspective and provides an analysis of the outcomes of each of the state and federal races held in that year: Governor, State Constitutional Offices, the US Congress and the Florida State House of Representatives and the State Senate. It draws on information from exit polls and data from state voter registration rolls and county and district election outcomes. It also utilizes campaign expenditure data from the files of the Florida Department of State and from the US Elections Commission. The book provides a discussion of the context within which the elections took place and of the strategies and tactics employed by the candidates. An explanation for the outcome of the gubernatorial race is provided through an analysis of voting coalitions that supported the leading candidates. It closes with an analysis of the competitiveness of elections in Florida.
Contents
List of Illustrations ...
List of Tables ...
Preface ...
Acknowledgments ...
One The Race for Governor ...
The Candidates and the Primaries
The General Election for Governor: Strategic Context
Positioning, Targeting and Message
How the Republicans Campaigned
How the Democrats Campaigned
Summary
Two The Gubernatorial Election Results ...
Vote by Mail and Early Voting
Voter Turnout
County by County Results
Three Explaining the Outcome: Group Voting in the 2014 Gubernatorial Election ...
Gender, Age, and Race
Education and Income
Religion
Party Identification and Ideology
Voting in Coalitions Elections: 1998-2014
Four Issue Opinions and Candidate Choice: Gubernatorial Election 2014 ...
The Economy
Healthcare
Social Issues
The Obama Effect
Medical Marijuana Amendment
Five The Campaigns for the Constitutional Offices ...
The Race for Attorney General
The Race for Chief Financial Officer
The Race for Commissioner of Agriculture and Consumer Services
Six The Congressional Campaign ...
The Pattern of Outcomes in the 2012 Congressional Elections
Seven The Campaigns for the Florida State Legislature ...
The State Senate Campaigns
House of Representatives Campaigns
Patterns in the Outcomes of the Florida Legislative Races
Eight The 2014 Elections and the Future of Florida Politics ...
Legislative Competition in Florida and the Nation, 1968-2014
Competitiveness in the 2014 State Legislative Elections: Five Percent Marginality
Competitiveness in the 2014 State Legislative Elections: Incumbency Success
Competitiveness in the 2014 State Legislative Elections: Uncontested Seats
Monetary Factors in Electoral Competition
References ...
About the Authors ...
Index ...
