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Full Description
This thought-provoking study of academic job markets over the next quarter century uses rigorous analysis to project substantial excess demand for faculty starting in the 1997-2002 period. Particularly severe imbalances are projected in the humanities and social sciences. Contrary to popular impressions, however, these projected shortages are not caused by any unusual "bunching" of retirements. The authors' discussion of factors affecting the outlook for academic employment includes information on changes in the age distributions of faculties, trends in enrollment, shifts in the popularity of fields of study, changes in the faculty-student ratio, and the continuing increase in the time spent by the typical graduate student in obtaining a doctorate. This work will appeal to a broad audience. It will be essential reading for those who are responsible for determining the size and character of graduate programs in universities, for aspiring academics who are looking for a sense of their job prospects, for college and university faculty members and administrators who must recruit new colleagues, and for those interested in the federal role in higher education.
Originally published in 1989. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.
Contents
*FrontMatter, pg. i*Contents, pg. v*List of Illustrations, pg. vii*Preface, pg. xiii*CHAPTER ONE. Introduction, pg. 3*CHAPTER TWO. Age Distributions and Exits from Academia, pg. 15*CHAPTER THREE. Population Trends and Enrollment Projections, pg. 30*CHAPTER FOUR. Enrollment by Sector and Field of Study: Trends and Projections, pg. 43*CHAPTER FIVE. Student/Faculty Ratios and Projections of Faculty Positions, pg. 66*CHAPTER SIX. The Supply of New Doctorates, pg. 90*CHAPTER SEVEN. The Changing Balance between Supply and Demand, pg. 118*CHAPTER EIGHT. Adjustment Mechanisms, pg. 144*CHAPTER NINE. Questions of Policy, pg. 172*APPENDIX A. Principal Sources of Data and Definitions of Fields of Study and Sectors, pg. 187*APPENDIX B. Derivation of Exit Probabilities, pg. 193*APPENDIX C. Correcting for Shifts in the Carnegie Classification of Institutions, pg. 204*APPENDIX D. Additional Tables for Chapters Four, Six, and Seven, pg. 206*Publications Cited, pg. 221
