21世紀の米中関係にみる戦略性<br>Strategic Reassurance and Resolve : U.S.-China Relations in the Twenty-First Century

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21世紀の米中関係にみる戦略性
Strategic Reassurance and Resolve : U.S.-China Relations in the Twenty-First Century

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  • 製本 Hardcover:ハードカバー版/ページ数 272 p.
  • 言語 ENG
  • 商品コード 9780691159515
  • DDC分類 327.73051

Full Description

After forty years of largely cooperative Sino-U.S. relations, policymakers, politicians, and pundits on both sides of the Pacific see growing tensions between the United States and China. Some go so far as to predict a future of conflict, driven by the inevitable rivalry between an established and a rising power, and urge their leaders to prepare now for a future showdown. Others argue that the deep economic interdependence between the two countries and the many areas of shared interests will lead to more collaborative relations in the coming decades. In this book, James Steinberg and Michael O'Hanlon stake out a third, less deterministic position. They argue that there are powerful domestic and international factors, especially in the military and security realms, that could well push the bilateral relationship toward an arms race and confrontation, even though both sides will be far worse off if such a future comes to pass. They contend that this pessimistic scenario can be confidently avoided only if China and the United States adopt deliberate policies designed to address the security dilemma that besets the relationship between a rising and an established power.
The authors propose a set of policy proposals to achieve a sustainable, relatively cooperative relationship between the two nations, based on the concept of providing mutual strategic reassurance in such key areas as nuclear weapons and missile defense, space and cyber operations, and military basing and deployments, while also demonstrating strategic resolve to protect vital national interests, including, in the case of the United States, its commitments to regional allies.

Contents

Acknowledgments ix Chapter 1. Introduction 1 Part I: The Cause for Concern Chapter 2. The Sources of Conflict 17 Chapter 3. The Determinants of Chinese Strategy 29 Chapter 4. The Determinants of American Strategy 48 Part II: Strategic Reassurance in Practice Chapter 5. Military Spending and Military Modernization 77 Chapter 6. Military Contingencies: Enhancing Crisis Stability 120 Chapter 7. The Strategic Domain: Nuclear, Space, and Cyber 150 Chapter 8. Bases, Deployments, and Operations 182 Chapter 9. Conclusion 203 Appendix A. Summary of Specific Recommendations 209 Appendix B. Naval Vessels of the United States and China 213 Notes 215 Index 257

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