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基本説明
New in paperback. Hardcover was published in 1984 by Basic Books. This book analyzes the social side of technology risk. It provides a powerful framework for analyzing the risks and organizations that we insist we run them.
Full Description
Normal Accidents analyzes the social side of technological risk. Charles Perrow argues that the conventional engineering approach to ensuring safety--building in more warnings and safeguards--fails because systems complexity makes failures inevitable. He asserts that typical precautions, by adding to complexity, may help create new categories of accidents. (At Chernobyl, tests of a new safety system helped produce the meltdown and subsequent fire.) By recognizing two dimensions of risk--complex versus linear interactions, and tight versus loose coupling--this book provides a powerful framework for analyzing risks and the organizations that insist we run them. The first edition fulfilled one reviewer's prediction that it "may mark the beginning of accident research." In the new afterword to this edition Perrow reviews the extensive work on the major accidents of the last fifteen years, including Bhopal, Chernobyl, and the Challenger disaster. The new postscript probes what the author considers to be the "quintessential 'Normal Accident'" of our time: the Y2K computer problem.
Contents
Abnormal Blessings vii Introduction 3 1. Normal Accident at Three Mile Island 15 2. Nuclear Power as a High-Risk System: Why We Have Not Had More TMIs--But Will Soon 32 3. Complexity, Coupling, and Catastrophe 62 4. Petrochemical Plants 101 5. Aircraft and Airways 123 6. Marine Accidents 170 7. Earthbound Systems: Dams, Quakes, Mines, and Lakes 232 8. Exotics: Space, Weapons, and DNA 256 9. Living with High-Risk Systems 304 Afterword 353 Postscript: The Y2K Problem 388 List of Acronyms 413 Notes 415 Bibliography 426 Index 441
