Full Description
The End of Driving: Automated Cars, Sharing vs Owning, and the Future of Mobility, second edition, examines the complex intersection of vehicle automation, public policy, and social change. It analyzes two competing models for the deployment of driving automation—privately owned, automated, or highly automated vehicles versus on-demand driverless vehicles (robotaxis)—and argues that while robotaxis could offer superior urban mobility, achieving this outcome requires deliberate policy choices. Drawing from early deployments through 2025, this book explores how automated vehicles could advance public interests, including social equity, environmental sustainability, and urban liveability; but only with thoughtful system design and implementation.
This thoroughly updated second edition examines the psychological factors influencing transportation choices that will make private vehicle ownership persist; explores the challenges of roads where human drivers and self-driving vehicles will operate simultaneously; and proposes innovative approaches like flexible on-demand transit and targeted financial incentives to encourage shared mobility. This book introduces new concepts, like zero-car-ownership communities, and changes to urban design centered on access to automated transportation.
Instead of forecasting specific timelines for automated-driving milestones, this book engages in 'backcasting', identifying how to achieve a desirable future. The End of Driving: Automated Cars, Sharing vs Owning, and the Future of Mobility makes a compelling case that while private vehicle ownership is likely to remain dominant, a transportation system with greater shared mobility is still possible and preferable. Achieving it, however, will require strategic policy interventions to overcome deeply ingrained behavioral patterns and market forces that favor ownership.
Contents
1. Language for Automated Driving
2. The Road Taken: Hype, Inflated Expectations, Disillusionment, and Reset
3. A Broad Context: The Contention of Change
4. Conflicting Narratives: Shared Understanding Will Be Difficult to Achieve
5. A Challenging Transition: Two Competing Markets
6. The Road Ahead Wherever Private Ownership Thrives
7. Barriers to Shared Use of Vehicles
8. Surviving Mixed Traffic
9. Microtransit and Shared Robotaxis in Merged Evolution
10. Governing Multiple Fleets of Automated Vehicles
11. Transit-Oriented Development and Other Land Use
12. Realistic Scenario End States for SAV Deployment
13. Backcasting for the Steps to Achieve Desired Futures
14. Summary of the Behavioral Economics Overlay
15. Zero Car Ownership Communities
