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基本説明
This book analyses the deference policy statements of three key Asia Pacific powers - the United States, Australia and New Zealand - and shows how uncertainty about the rise of China has influenced current defence planning decisions.
Full Description
How can countries decide what kind of military forces they need, if threats are uncertain and history is full of strategic surprises? This is a question that is more pertinent than ever, as countries across the Asia-Pacific are faced with the military and economic rise of China. Uncertainty is inherent in defence planning, but different types of uncertainty mean that countries need to approach decisions about military force structure in different ways. This book examines four different basic frameworks for defence planning, and demonstrates how states can make decisions coherently about the structure and posture of their defence forces despite strategic uncertainty. It draws on case studies from the United States, Australian and New Zealand, each of which developed key concepts for their particular circumstances and risk perception in Asia. Success as well as failure in developing coherent defence planning frameworks holds lessons for the United States and other countries as they consider how best to structure their military forces for the uncertain challenges of the future.
Contents
1. Introduction: Defence Planning and the Problem of China 2. Defence Planning as Risk Management 3. Net Assessment-Based Planning 4. Mobilization Planning 5. Portfolio Planning 6. Task-Based Planning 7. US Defence Planning Frameworks and the Rise of China 8. Managing the Risk of Conflict in 21st Century Asia 9. Enduring Tensions in Defence Planning
