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Full Description
Medical Risk Prediction Models: With Ties to Machine Learning is a hands-on book for clinicians, epidemiologists, and professional statisticians who need to make or evaluate a statistical prediction model based on data. The subject of the book is the patient's individualized probability of a medical event within a given time horizon. Gerds and Kattan describe the mathematical details of making and evaluating a statistical prediction model in a highly pedagogical manner while avoiding mathematical notation. Read this book when you are in doubt about whether a Cox regression model predicts better than a random survival forest.
Features:
All you need to know to correctly make an online risk calculator from scratch.
Discrimination, calibration, and predictive performance with censored data and competing risks.
R-code and illustrative examples.
Interpretation of prediction performance via benchmarks.
Comparison and combination of rival modeling strategies via cross-validation.
Contents
Software. 2. I am going to make a prediction model. What do I need to know? 3. Regression model. 4. How should I prepare for modeling? 5. I am ready to build a prediction model. 7. Does my model predict accurately? 7. How do I decide between rival models? 8. Can't the computer just take care of all of this? 9. Things you might have expected in our book.
