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Full Description
Not Just Another Cold War considers how the emerging superpower rivalry between the US and China compares to the Cold War, and what that means for the future of global politics. By contrasting the current US-China rivalry with a well-understood conflict, the authors provide insights into the characteristics and trajectory of the twenty-first century's defining conflict.
With contributions from some of the world's most influential international relations scholars--Stephen Walt, M. Taylor Fravel, Odd Arne Westad, Robert Ross, and Thomas J. Christensen, among others--the volume examines many of the most important facets of the US-China relationship: the economic and military balance, the impact of technology, geopolitical consequences, relations between China and Russia, the future of NATO, and the risk of war over Taiwan. Through their analysis, the authors highlight key similarities between the current rivalry and the Cold War conflict, but also vitally important differences.
The US-China relationship--the defining superpower rivalry of the twenty-first century--is likely to prove at least as dangerous and consequential as the contest that shaped the second half of the twentieth century. But to understand and strategize around the current political face-off, it is essential to recognize that this is not just another Cold War.
Contents
Contributors
Acknowledgements
Introduction
Bård Nikolas Vik Steen
One: This is Not Cold War II
1. The Cold War and Our Own Times
Odd Arne Westad
2. US-China Bipolarity and Conflictual Coexistence
Øystein Tunsjø
Two: The Economic Contest
3. The Limits of China's Economic Rise
David Dollar
4. "The "Venture Capital State": Implications for China's Growth
Arthur R. Kroeber
Three: The Military Balance
5. China: Regional Power or Global Superpower?
Robert S. Ross
6. Will US-PRC Military Competition Go Global?: Why Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Matters
Thomas J. Christensen
Four: The Technological Rivalry
7. Technological Competition and the US-China Rivalry
M. Taylor Fravel
8. Technological Change and the Intensifying US-China Security Dilemma
Henrik Stålhane Hiim
Five: The Russia-China Partnership
9. The Russian Invasion of Ukraine and the Sino-Russian Partnership
Elizabeth Wishnick
10. China-Russia Rapprochement: Beyond Rationality, the Strength of Ideology
Alice Ekman
Six: The Geopolitical Consequences
11. The Geography of Rimland and Heartland: Why the US-China Rivalry Differs from the Cold War
Jo Inge Bekkevold
12. Geotransition and the Future of Global Stability
Bård Nikolas Vik Steen
Seven: The Future of NATO
13. Can NATO Survive the Geostrategic Pivot to Asia?
François Heisbourg
14. Will Europe Balance China?: Transatlantic Security Cooperation in an Era of Sino-American Rivalry
Stephen M. Walt
Eight: The Hot War
15. Assessing the Prospects for Armed Conflict in the Taiwan Strait
Scott L. Kastner
16. What a Conflict Over Taiwan Would Look Like
Bruno Tertrais