外交政策分析のツールボックス Foreign Policy Analysis〈1st ed. 2018〉 : A Toolbox

著者名：Morin, Jean-Frédéric/Paquin, Jonathan

Palgrave Macmillan（2018/01/03発売）

• 言語：ENG
• ISBN：9783319610023
• eISBN：9783319610030

Description

This book presents the evolution of the field of foreign policy analysis and explains the theories that have structured research in this area over the last 50 years. It provides the essentials of emerging theoretical trends, data and methodological pitfalls and major case-studies and is designed to be a key entry point for graduate students, upper-level undergraduates and scholars into the discipline. The volume features an eclectic panorama of different conceptual, theoretical and methodological approaches to foreign political analysis, focusing on different models of analysis such as two-level game analysis, bureaucratic politics, strategic culture, cybernetics, poliheuristic analysis, cognitive mapping, gender studies, groupthink and the systemic sources of foreign policy. The authors also clarify conceptual notions such as doctrines, ideologies and national interest, through the lenses of foreign policy analysis.

Table of Contents

1.What is Foreign Policy Analysis?

What is a Policy? 

When a Policy Becomes Foreign

An Array of Explanations 

The Levels of Analysis and the Evolution in FPA

A Toolbox for Studying FPA 

2. How to Identify and Assess a Foreign Policy?

The Goals of Foreign Policy

--The Goals Communicated 

--Doctrine

--National Interest

--Deducing the Goals Pursued

Mobilized Resources

--Resources

--The Power Paradox

--Mobilization and Exploitation

Instruments of Foreign Policy

--Socialization

--Coercion

--Interventions

--Event-Based Databases

The Process of Foreign Policy

--Segmentation in Six Phases

--A Linear, Cyclical or Chaotic Process

The Outcome of Foreign Policy

--Measuring Effectiveness

--Feedback Effects

--Historical Institutionalism

--Explaining Effectiveness

From the Puzzle to the Theoretical Explanations

--Theoretical Models

3. Do Decision-Makers Matter?

Emotions

--From Psychobiography to Statistics

--The Middle Way: Affective Dimensions

--Typologies Combining the Affective Dimensions

Cognition

--Cognitive Consistency

--Operational Codes

--Heuristic Shortcuts

--Cognitive Mapping

--Cognitive Complexity

--Schema Theory

Perceptions

--Misperception

--Attribution Bias

--Probabilities

4. What is the Influence of the Bureaucracy?

Management Styles

--Defining Management Styles

--The Most Appropriate Management Style

Group Dynamics

--Groupthink

--Defining the Phenomenon

The Organizational Model

--Organizational Strategies

--The Effects of Standard Operating Procedures

The Bureaucratic Model

--One Game, Several Players

--The Interactions between the Players

--The Position of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs

--The Bureaucratic Model and Its Critics

5. To What Extent is Foreign Policy Shaped by Institutions?

Parliamentary and Electoral System

--Presidential and Parliamentary Regimes

--Parliamentarians and their Preferences

--Political Cohabitation and Coalitions

The Strong State and the Weak State

--Determining the Relative Power of the State

--The Power of the State and Its Foreign Policy

The Democratic Peace Proposition

--Observing the Democratic Peace

--Defining the Variables of the Democratic Peace

--The Peaceful Nature of Democracies

--Explaining the Democratic Peace Through Norms

--The Exchange of Information and Credibility

Economic Liberalism

--From Democracy to Free Trade

--From Free Trade to Peace and Vice Versa

--Critics of the Liberal Peace

6. How Influential Are the Social Actors?

Public Opinion

--The Almond-Lippmann Consensus and Its Critics

--The Structure of Public Opinion

--The Influence of Public Opinion

--Audience Costs

The Influence of Leaders on Public Opinion

--The Rally Around the Flag

--The Temptation of War as a Rallying Lever

The Media

--The Media's Influence

--How Leaders Influence the Media?

--The CNN Effect

The Interest Groups

--How Interest Groups Influence Foreign Policy?

--Methodological Pitfalls

--Case Studies and Generalizations

The Experts

--Think Tanks

--Epistemic Communities

--The Experts' Predictions

7. How Does Rationality Apply to FPA and What Are Its Limitations?

Rational Choice

--From Micro-Economics to Foreign Policy

--The Substitutability of Foreign Policies

--Rational Deterrence

Modelling Rationality

--Game Theory

--Cybernetic Theory

--The Two-Level Game

Rationality and Cognition

--Prospect Theories

--Poliheuristic Theory

8. What Part Does Culture Play in FPA?

Norms

--Norm Compliance

--Norm Diffusion

National Identities

--The Self and the Other

--Evolving Identities

--Foreign Policy as Identity Affiliation

--Social Identity Theory

National Roles

--Role Conception

--Roles as Foreign Policy Guides

Gender

--Women, Femininity and Feminism

--The Nation and the State in the Feminist Grammar

--Foreign States and Nations

Organizational and Strategic Cultures

--The Stability of Organizational Cultures

--Interactions between Organizational Cultures

--Strategic Culture

--Strategic Cultures and Practices

Discourse

--Discourse as a Field of Interaction

--The Methods of Discourse Analysis

9. Does the International Structure Explain Foreign Policy?

Structural Theories

--The Structural Shift in International Relations

--Limits and Criticism

Can Structural Theories Inform Foreign Policy?

--Structural Assumptions and State Units

Reconciling Agent and Structure

--From Structure to Agent

--From Agent to Structure

10. What are the Current Challenges to FPA?

Challenge 1: Beyond Eclecticism

Challenge 2: Beyond the American Framework

Challenge 3: Beyond the State-Centric Prism

Challenge 4: Beyond the Ivory Tower